Here’s When the Second Wave of Coronavirus Is Coming, Doctors Warn

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<p>After months of stay at home orders in an attempt to flatten the coronavirus curve, there’s finally a little <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>good news coming in</a>. The number of reported new COVID-19 cases in former hot spots around the country is going down. And that cautious optimism has even allowed certain states to <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>begin the early phases of reopening</a>. Unfortunately, that’s where the good news ends, as medical experts believe that a lack of social distancing, refusal to <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>wear face masks</a>, and the flouting of other precautions amid reopening could erase any progress in a matter of months. As a result, according to doctors, a <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>second wave of the coronavirus</a> could come as soon as September.</p>
<p>Many experts—including National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases director <strong>Anthony Fauci</strong>, MD—say that fall or early winter will likely see the first resurgence in COVID-19 infections across the country. “We should not see a <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>full second wave</a> in the summer, but <a href=”″ target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>we may see hot spots all over the country</a>,” <strong>Mark Jarrett</strong>, MD, chief quality officer for Northwell Health, told <em>Newsday</em>. He added that this spike in cases would especially affect areas where people ignore Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommendations to wear masks and practice social distancing, or where restrictions have been loosened too much.</p>
<p>Jarrett also warned that “super-spreader events” such as <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>large summertime parties and other gatherings</a> are especially high risk for transmission of the coronavirus. “If you get a couple of people spreading it to 500 people, those 500 people now spread it to 1,000 people, and it keeps escalating,” he said.</p>
<p>Jarrett also pointed to history as an example of how things may unfold by comparing the current COVID-19 pandemic to the <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>1918 influenza pandemic</a>. Using figures from the CDC, it’s been established that after starting in March 1918, there was a significant drop in cases over the summer before an autumn resurgence of the flu virus <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>claimed even more lives</a> than the initial outbreak. Given the <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>highly contagious nature</a> of the novel coronavirus, today’s medical experts share concern that history could easily repeat itself in this way.</p>
<p>Others add that <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>summertime habits may be to thank</a> for these dropping numbers that are lulling us into a false sense of security. “People are in less-ventilated spaces [in the fall and winter], so there’s a higher chance of you being exposed to aerosols that contain the virus,” <strong>Bettina Fries</strong>, MD, <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>chief of the infectious disease division</a> at Stony Brook Medicine, told <em>Newsday</em>.</p>
<p>But since COVID-19 was only discovered in humans five months ago, scientists say that mapping the virus’s trajectory could be even trickier than anyone anticipates. For now, medical experts recommend <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>following all CDC guidelines</a> and resisting the temptation to break social distancing rules too early. It also means <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>wearing your face mask</a>, diligently washing your hands, and <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>avoiding large gatherings</a>. And for more information on how coronavirus spreads, check out how <a href=”” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>80 Percent of Coronavirus Cases Can Be Traced Back to This One Thing</a>.</p>

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