Dr. Fauci Says This Is the Sign That a COVID-19 Surge Is Coming

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<p>With COVID-19 still spreading around the United States, all eyes are on <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/covid-outbreak-moving/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>which regions are likely to be affected next</a>. And while many are watching case numbers and now deaths rise, there’s another major metric states should be considering. <strong>Anthony Fauci</strong>, MD, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), recently said that a <strong>steady increase in positive test rate is the key sign that a coronavirus surge is coming</strong>.</p>
<p>”Prior to the surging, you could <a href=”https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8PgmAWgiL1A” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>detect an early increase in the percent positive</a> for any given state,” Fauci said in a recent interview with <strong>Howard Bauchner</strong>, MD, editor in chief of the <em>Journal of the American Medical Association</em> (<em>JAMA</em>)<em>.</em> “It’s a good predictor of a surge.”</p>
<p>The percent positive rate is the percentage of tests that come back positive for COVID-19 out of all the tests conducted in a state. The World Health Organization (WHO) advises governments that before reopening, <a href=”https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19—16-march-2020″ target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>positive test rates should remain at 5 percent</a> or lower for at least 14 days. Currently, 34 states in the U.S. are above that threshold, according to <a href=”https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/testing-positivity” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>COVID data from Johns Hopkins</a>.</p>
<p>”Even if it goes up 1 or 1.5 percent,” Fauci said, it’s cause for concern.</p>
<p><iframe title=”Coronavirus Q&A With Anthony Fauci” width=”500″ height=”281″ src=”https://www.youtube.com/embed/8PgmAWgiL1A?feature=oembed” frameborder=”0″ allow=”accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture” allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Fauci explained that positive test rates are <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/covid-rising-every-state/”>spiking in areas</a> other than the country’s most well-known hotspots like Arizona and Florida. Now, the Midwest is the target of a similar <a href=”https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/03/coronavirus-fauci-starting-to-see-insidious-rise-in-rate-of-positive-cases.html” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>”insidious” rise</a> to what the Sun Belt has seen for the past month, he said. Previously, in a July 28 interview with ABC’s <em>Good Morning America</em>, Fauci noted that the <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/fauci-worried-about-4-states/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>states that should be on alert</a> are Indiana, Ohio, Tennessee, and Kentucky. In his conversation with <em>JAMA</em>, he also added Minnesota to that list.</p>
<p>If a state is showing a high positive test rate, Fauci said the most important thing to do is to consider stricter safety measures and to <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/new-jersey-reversing-reopening/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>potentially pause reopening</a>. “You have to take a look at where you are in the process of trying to reopen,” Fauci said. “You may need to pause, you may need to drop back a little bit.”</p>
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<p>However, that <a href=”https://www.cnn.com/videos/health/2020/07/31/fauci-another-lockdown-coronavirus-pandemic-curve-impossible-predict-town-hall-bts-vpx.cnn/video/playlists/coronavirus/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>doesn’t mean returning to a complete shutdown</a> again, he says. In an interview with CNN on July 30, Fauci explained: “I don’t think we need to go all the way back to lockdown. And the reason I say that is that we’re learning more and more.” He explained that the “<a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/avoid-another-lockdown/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>five fundamental principles</a>”—wearing masks, keeping physical distance, avoiding bars, avoiding crowds, and maintaining hand hygiene—can help your state avoid another shutdown. “Those are five, not rocket science things that one can do. … States that have done that, they’ve actually flattened the surging curve and then <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/fauci-states-cases-down/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener noreferrer”>start[ed] to come down</a>.” And for more important warnings from Fauci, check out <a href=”https://bestlifeonline.com/fauci-coronavirus-airborne/”>Dr. Fauci Says There’s Now Evidence That Coronavirus Spreads This Way</a>.</p>

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